The Kennedy Space Center. Picture by SpaceX.
2011 might, in the history books of the future, be seen as the year when the space cadets dream finally died. It marks the end of Americas space shuttle programme, whose last mission is planned to launch on July 8th [2011]. The shuttle was supposed to be a reusable truck that would make the business of putting people into orbit quotidian. Instead, it has been nothing but trouble. Twice, it has killed its crew. If it had been seen as the experimental vehicle it actually is, that would not have been a particular cause for concern; test pilots are killed all the timeBut the shuttle is now over. The ISS [International Space Station] is due to be deorbited, in the inelegant jargon of the field, in 2020. Once that happens, the game will be up. There is no appetite to return to the moon, let alone push on to Mars, El Dorado of space exploration. The technology could be there, but the passion has gone
This is an excerpt from anarticle titled The End of the Space Age, published by The Economist, in June 2011. The following month, July 2011, just a mere two and a half years into the Obama administration, the USs space shuttle programme, once a symbol of the American space supremacy for many, established some three decades earlier, would take its last voyage before it was retired forever. It wasnt an entirely surprising event, Obamas predecessor, George W Bush hadannounced the plan to retire it some seven and half years earlier.
The shuttles chief purpose over the next several years will be to help finish assembly of the International Space Station [ISS]. In 2010, the space shuttle after nearly 30 years of duty will be retired from service, he told an audience gathered at NASA Headquarters on the afternoon of 14 January 2004. During that speech, he also announced a goal to return to the moon by 2020, and create a base for missions to Mars and beyond. 1972 was the last time a human was on the moon. Following on from Bushs speech, NASA launched the Constellation programme in 2005, whose three stated goals were low earth orbit flights for research purposes, getting humans back on the moon, and from there, to Mars.
In this NASA handout, A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket carrying the company’s Crew Dragon spacecraft is launched on NASAs SpaceX Crew-2 mission to the International Space Station with NASA astronauts Shane Kimbrough and Megan McArthur, ESA (European Space Agency) astronaut Thomas Pesquet, and Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) astronaut Akihiko Hoshide onboard, Friday, April 23, 2021, at NASAs Kennedy Space Center in Florida. (Photo by Joel Kowsky/NASA via Getty Images)
SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket flies to the International Space Station after blasting off from launch pad 39A at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida on April 23, 2021 in Cape Canaveral, Florida. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images) (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)
However, in April 2010, just five years and an estimated cost of $230-billion since the launch of the Constellation programme, Obama gave aspeech at the John F Kennedy centre: Now, I understand that some believe that we should attempt a return to the surface of the Moon first, as previously planned. But I just have to say pretty bluntly here: Weve been there before. Buzz has been there. Theres a lot more of space to explore, and a lot more to learn when we do, he told his audience who were unlikely to have been surprised by the news, as the plans to cancel the programme had been reported since February that year, when Obama called it over budget, behind schedule, and lacking in innovation.”
Anticipating the following years retirement of the space shuttle programme as well, he presented a new focus for NASA that included earth-based research, funding that would extend the life of the International Space Station likely by more than five years.
Most recently, the ISS has received funding to guarantee its existence at least until 2030. This modular habitable satellite is an international partnership of Space Agencies, the principal ones being the Space Agencies of the United States, Russia, Europe, Japan, and Canada. Some 400 kilometres above us in low earth orbit, it travels at eight kilometres per second, orbiting earth 16 times in a period of 24 hours. Thats 16 sunsets and sunrises in a day. Although some 240 individuals had visited the station by 2020, an international crew of just six live and work aboard the ISS.
In this NASA handout, This composite image made from six frames shows the International Space Station, with a crew of seven aboard, is seen in silhouette as it transits the sun at roughly five miles per second, Friday, April 23, 2021, as seen from Nottingham, Maryland. (Photo by Bill Ingalls/NASA via Getty Images)
Obama continued, ushering in the era that would make it possible for the likes of Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos to realise their space colonisation ambitions: And in order to reach the space station, we will work with a growing array of private companies competing to make getting to space easier and more affordable he continued later in his speech. Now, I recognise that some have said it is unfeasible or unwise to work with the private sector in this way. I disagree Some have said, for instance, that this plan gives up our leadership in space by failing to produce plans within NASA to reach low Earth orbit, instead of relying on companies and other countries. But we will actually reach space faster and more often under this new plan By the mid-2030s, I believe we can send humans to orbit Mars and return them safely to Earth. And a landing on Mars will follow. And I expect to be around to see it.
In this handout photo provided by NASA, President Barack Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama meet with space shuttle Endeavor commander Mark Kelly (R), and shuttle astronauts, (L-R) Andrew Feustel, European Space Agency’s Roberto Vittori, Michael Fincke, Gregory H. Johnson, and Greg Chamitoff, after their launch was scrubbed April 29, 2011 at the Kennedy Space Center in Cape Canaveral, Florida. (Photo By Bill Ingalls/NASA via Getty Images)
U.S. President Barack (C)Obama waves after speaking at the Operations and Checkout Building at NASA Kennedy Space Center April 15, 2010 in Cape Canaveral, Florida. (Photo by Bill Ingalls/NASA via Getty Images)
Fast forward to 16 April 2021, and NASA announced that it had awarded a $2.9-billion contract to Musks company, SpaceX, to build a lunar lander that will spearhead NASAs Artemis programme, which was launched in 2017 with the goal of achieving what the Constellation programme failed to do, return humans to the moon.
Jeff Bezos, founder of the space rocket company, Blue Origin, which also bid for the contract, was not happy. Along with the only other bidding company, Dynetics, Blue Origin have filed a protest with the Government Accountability Office (GAO), accusing NASA of changing conditions of contract bidders, and challenging NASAs decision to go with one contractor. According to a statement released by Blue Moon: NASA has executed a flawed acquisition for the Human Landing System programme and moved the goalposts at the last minute Their decision eliminates opportunities for competition, significantly narrows the supply base, and not only delays, but also endangers Americas return to the Moon. Elon Musk responded with a tweet: Cant get it up (to orbit) lol, perhaps prematurely. By Friday 30 April 2021, NASA announced that they were suspending the contract “until GAO resolves all outstanding litigation related to this procurement. And yet another entry was added into the long and widely-reported feud between the billionaires.
But it wasnt always so.
Back in 2004, when both were mere space novices, freshy enriched by their internet millions, Bezos from the success of Amazon, and Musk from the sales of Paypal and Zip2, and both having recently founded their space companies, these two would-be men of destiny met for dinner to talk all things space.
SpaceX owner and Tesla CEO Elon Musk poses on the red carpet of the Axel Springer Award 2020 on December 01, 2020 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Britta Pedersen-Pool/Getty Images)
Jeff Bezos, owner of Blue Origin, speaks about outer space before unveiling a new lunar landing module called Blue Moon, during an event at the Washington Convention Center, May 9, 2019 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Mark Wilson/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC – MAY 09: Jeff Bezos unveils Blue Moon. (Photo by Mark Wilson/Getty Images)
Understandably, no transcript of that conversation exists, but on 1 March 2021, Trung Phang, a business and tech writer for The Hustle, a business newsletter and website, tweeted a picture of the pair having dinner together in 2004, which Musk confirmed by tweeting, I cant believe that was 17 years ago. Phang goes on to quote Musks later recollection of parts of their conversation: We talked about rocket architectures It was very clear technically he was barking up the wrong tree, and I tried to give the best advice I could Some of the engine architecture they were pursuing were the wrong evolutionary path I actually did my best to give good advice, which he largely ignored.
The years that followed would demonstrate fundamentally different approaches to similar stated goals, and present successes and failures for both, putting them on the path towards becoming two of the most consequential civilians in the new space race and disproving once and for all the sentiments of that 2011 Economist article, The End of the Space Age, which had stated: It is quite conceivable that 36,000km will prove the limit of human ambition. It is equally conceivable that the fantasy-made-reality of human space flight will return to fantasy. It is likely that the Space Age is over.
Picture: SpaceX
Picture: SpaceX
But back then, during that 2004 dinner, little did the men know of the challenges that lay ahead, the enemies that would be made, the lawsuits against the government, the millions that would literally go up in flames, as rockets exploded. Neither were they the only tycoons who saw their destiny and that of humanity writ large high up among stars. And while they have done much to raise the USs profile in the space game, there are a number of spacefaring nations. And strongest among those are Russia and China, sometimes political adversaries of the US.
In part 2 of our Space Opera, The Galactic stage: Meet the Players, we go back to the beginning of SpaceX, Blue Origin, and another famous billionaire space entrepreneur. We look at their motivation, and the potential rewards that could make some of the richest men on earth, much richer, and introduce the world to a new ultra-exclusive club: the trillionaires. DM/ML